- Will Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?9¢9%
- Will Alice Huang be federally charged by March 31, 2027?22¢22%
- 2%9%December 31, 2026$3.6k Vol.
- 3%21.5%March 31, 2027$1.3k Vol.
US authorities continue to investigate Alice Huang’s role at Megaspeed International amid allegations she acted as a Chinese intelligence asset and facilitated diversion of export-controlled Nvidia AI chips, with the Commerce Department having referred the matter to the Justice Department. No public indictment or federal charges against Huang have been filed as of November 12, 2026, and she is reported to be in Beijing. Singapore authorities maintain a separate probe into the company, while a civil securities-fraud suit targets Nvidia and Jensen Huang over related disclosures. Congressional briefings scheduled for November 18 could surface additional details, though extradition barriers and the absence of confirmed criminal referrals keep near-term charging prospects limited in trader assessments.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed. Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.