- Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Bangsamoro Party (BAPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Bangsamoro Empowerment and Social Transformation Party (BEST PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?60¢
- Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Indigenous, Settlers, Sama and Minorities Alliance Party (ISAMA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Mahardika Party (MAHARDIKA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Moro Ako Party (MORO AKO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will People’s Consultative (Mushawara) Party (MUSHAWARA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Partido Bangon Bangsamoro (PBB) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Progresibong Bangsamoro Party (PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
- Will Bangsamoro Peoples’ Democratic Party (RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?<1¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
BFP leads trader consensus at 57.5% for the most party-list seats in the September 14, 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election, ahead of UBJP at 30%, amid a fragmented field of 13 regional parliamentary parties contesting 40 proportional-representation seats plus 32 district and eight sectoral seats. The split between BFP, formed by interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua after his 2025 appointment replacing MILF chair Murad Ebrahim, and UBJP as the MILF’s political arm has driven realignments, with multiple local officials defecting to BFP in recent months. BFP secured Comelec designation as dominant minority party and holds unopposed district candidates in Maguindanao del Norte, while both parties field full slates and compete directly in key mainland provinces holding most of the 2.4 million voters. A late-August multi-party covenant and ongoing security deployments underscore efforts to manage polarization ahead of the vote, leaving room for last-minute shifts in turnout or alliances to alter seat outcomes.