- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数会达到或超过3,200,000吗？1¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数会少于2,200,000张吗？1¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数会在2,600,000到2,800,000之间吗？44¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数会在2,200,000到2,400,000之间吗？3¢
- 威斯康星州2026年中期选举总督的总投票数是否会在3,000,000到3,200,000之间？6¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数是否将在2,800,000至3,000,000之间？34¢
- 2026年威斯康星州州长中期选举的总投票数会在2,400,000到2,600,000之间吗？17¢
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial contest between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany remains a toss-up, with recent polls showing margins under 4 points and analysts rating it competitive. This dynamic, combined with the state’s strong historical turnout patterns in close races and high engagement from both parties’ bases, keeps trader probabilities clustered tightly across the 2.6M–3M ranges. Primary turnout reached 27.2% of voting-age population, slightly above prior cycles, while lingering effects from Democratic candidate shifts and independent voter mobilization efforts add uncertainty. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet shifted expectations ahead of November 3.