- Samuel Alito会在2026年12月31日之前宣布退休吗？3¢3%
- Samuel Alito会在2027年6月30日之前宣布退休吗？20¢20%
- 1%3.4%12月31日成交量 $162.1万
- 19.5%2027年6月30日成交量 $23.9万
Justice Samuel Alito has publicly confirmed he intends to serve through the current Supreme Court term ending in late June 2027, a decision he reached months earlier and reiterated after Democrats secured Senate control in the November 2026 midterms. At 76, Alito has described retirement as an annual consideration tied to his ability to contribute, noting he weighed stepping down previously but chose to remain. The shift to Democratic Senate majority beginning in January 2027 reduces prospects for swift confirmation of a successor under President Trump, prompting conservative calls for action during the lame-duck period that Alito has resisted. Traders monitoring this market focus on his consistent statements, potential health or personal developments, and the timeline for any future reconsideration ahead of the next term.
规则
如果 Samuel Alito 在指定日期 23:59 ET 前宣布将从美国最高法院副大法官职位上退休，则该市场将以“是”结算。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 他宣布的退休时间可以是立即生效、本届最高法院任期结束时，或未来任何时候。 Alito 的任何符合条件的公告都将计入以“是”结算，无论公告中的退休是否实际生效。 该市场的结算依据为 Alito 或其一位官方代表发布的正式公告。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。