- 伊朗会在2027年之前退出《不扩散核武器条约》吗？8¢8%
Iran's official stance continues to affirm membership in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stating on November 1 that Tehran upholds its commitments under the treaty. While parliament has registered at least ten withdrawal proposals since late October and figures including Mohsen Rezaei have described the country's future status as uncertain amid IAEA disputes and recent conflicts, senior officials have indicated that leaving is not an immediate priority. These developments, alongside ongoing diplomatic mediation efforts, have reinforced trader consensus that formal withdrawal before 2027 remains unlikely given the required legislative and leadership approvals.
规则
如果伊朗伊斯兰共和国在 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 前依据《不扩散核武器条约》（NPT）第十条，正式通知联合国其退出该条约的决定，此市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将以“否”结算。 要符合条件，伊朗政府必须发布正式书面通知，明确声明其有意依据 NPT 第十条退出该条约。 此市场的判定依据将是可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。