任何飞机会在……之前在基辅鲍里斯波尔机场降落或起飞吗?
政治俄罗斯乌克兰地缘政治世界
开始时间
2026-09-03
结束时间
2026-12-31
24小时成交量
$33K
总成交量
$33K
  • 到9月30日,基辅鲍里斯波尔机场会有任何飞机起降吗?17¢
  • 截至10月31日,是否有任何飞机在基辅鲍里斯波尔机场起降?35¢
  • 到12月31日,是否会有任何飞机在基辅鲍里斯波尔机场起降?38¢

Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ukrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial flights since February 2022, with Kyiv Boryspil Airport operating only in a suspended, maintenance mode amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Recent Russian missile strikes on Kyiv Oblast, including areas near Boryspil on September 1, 2026, underscore persistent security risks that prevent any resumption of landings or takeoffs. Although the airport maintains infrastructure, staff training, and technical readiness, reopening hinges on verifiable improvements in airspace safety and insurance conditions rather than fixed timelines. Ukrainian officials have formed working groups for phased resumption, and statements in July 2026 indicated potential operations within weeks of resolved security concerns, yet no such developments have materialized in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any near-term activity dependent on major de-escalation or diplomatic shifts in the conflict.

任何飞机会在……之前在基辅鲍里斯波尔机场降落或起飞吗?

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