- 共和党会赢得 WI-06 的众议院席位吗？94¢
- 民主党会赢得众议院中属于 WI-06 的席位吗？7¢
Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican lean and his long tenure since 2015. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the district Solid Republican, citing its R+8 Partisan Voter Index and Grothman's prior victories, including 61 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Brad Smith narrowly won his party's nomination as a political newcomer. Fundraising data shows Grothman maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 WI-06 国会选区席位的候选人所属政党进行结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月3日 举行。 候选人的政党归属，将以该候选人在本市场的结算信息来源明确判定 2026 年所有众议院选举结果时，在选票上列明或以其他方式可确认的政党隶属关系为准。如果候选人的选票上未注明其属于民主党或共和党，则将在本市场的判定来源最终确认所有众议院选举结果之时，根据候选人最近一次表示有意与之组成党团的政党，将其视为该两党之一的成员。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。