- 维克托·欧尔班会被谁逮捕……？12¢12%
- 维克多·欧尔班会在2027年6月30日之前被逮捕吗？42¢42%
- 2%12.4%2026年12月31日成交量 $15.1万
- 1%41.5%2027年6月30日成交量 $2.6万
Hungary's new government under Prime Minister Péter Magyar, which took power after defeating Viktor Orbán in the April 2026 election, has intensified anti-corruption probes against Orbán-era officials through the National Asset Recovery and Protection Office. Recent actions include the November 2026 detention of Orbán's brother in a people-smuggling case and the arrest of multiple former ministers and the ex-central bank chief on graft allegations, alongside seizures of millions in hidden cash tied to bribery schemes. These developments reflect trader focus on whether investigations will expand to formal charges or detention of Orbán himself before year-end. Legal processes, parliamentary immunity considerations, and the short timeline to December 31 limit the near-term likelihood of his arrest, though ongoing inquiries into associates could produce new evidence or procedural shifts.
规则
如果 Viktor Orbán 在指定日期 23:59 ET 前被执法部门逮捕或拘留，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，本市场将以“否”结算。 在等待法官决定是否签发拘留令期间，暂时关押在拘留设施也符合条件，前提是其在此期间由执法部门以官方身份羁押。 符合条件的逮捕/拘留包括： * 被执法部门（包括联邦、州、地方、军事或国际执法部门）实际拘押。 * 因逮捕令而自愿向执法部门投案。 * 被拘留后正式登记或办理相关手续。 * 被州政府机关戴上手铐并带到警察局。 * 在律师陪同下到警察局或法院投案。 * 被软禁或接受电子监控。 以下情况不属于逮捕/拘留： * 逮捕令已签发但未执行。 * 未被逮捕但遭到询问或问话。 * 未被逮捕但被列入起诉书。 该市场判定的主要依据将是实施逮捕的政府和执法部门的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。