- Nigel Farage 到 2026年12月31日 前会不再担任 Reform UK 领袖吗？6¢6%
- Nigel Farage 到 2027年3月31日 前会不再担任 Reform UK 领袖吗？20¢20%
Nigel Farage remains Reform UK leader amid ongoing scrutiny over an undeclared £5 million gift from a cryptocurrency donor, with the parliamentary standards commissioner expected to issue a verdict imminently following an October interview. Adverse findings could lead to suspension from the Commons and trigger a recall petition in his Clacton seat, though the party plans to appeal. Recent YouGov polling shows Reform UK at 21 percent in third place, with Farage trailing other party leaders in head-to-head matchups and personal approval ratings at multi-year lows. The party has faced additional probes into donation practices and internal adviser departures after undercover reporting. Farage has countered with policy announcements on immigration and citizenship reviews while maintaining active public campaigning, and Reform secured local council gains earlier in 2026. An early general election or further legal developments could influence leadership stability in the coming months.
规则
如果 Nigel Farage 在市场创建至 2027年3月31日, 23:59 ET 期间的任何一段时间不再担任 Reform UK 领导人，该市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在该市场结束日期之前宣布 Nigel Farage 辞职或被免职，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效，该市场都将立即结算为 “是”。 该市场的结算依据将是 Reform UK 提供的信息，不过，可信媒体报道形成的共识也足以作为依据。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。