- 民主党会在2026年赢得新泽西州的参议院选举吗？97¢
- 共和党会赢得2026年新泽西州的参议院选举吗？3¢
Cory Booker’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third full term stems from New Jersey’s consistent Democratic lean, including the party’s 2024 presidential margin, combined with his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $20 million and the absence of any Republican Senate victory in the state since 1972. Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination in a fragmented June primary but faces limited resources and name recognition against the entrenched incumbent. A single October debate highlighted national issues without shifting fundamentals, aligning with forecasts rating the race solidly Democratic. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout or national political conditions before the November 3 election.
规则
本市场将根据2026年新泽西州美国参议院中期选举的获胜者结算，包括任何可能的第二轮选举。 如果某候选人是相关政党提名的候选人，则视为其代表该政党。民主党或共和党提名人选以外的候选人（例如绿党、自由意志党或独立候选人）可能会在之后加入。 以独立候选人身份参选的候选人，无论其与该政党有任何关联，都不纳入“民主党”或“共和党”选项。 为方便交易者，合约中可能会列出候选人的姓名。如果任何一位列名候选人在选举日前被替换，不再代表其所属政党参选，合约中的姓名将会更新，市场将根据该政党的替代候选人结果结算。 本市场的结算依据为美联社、Fox News和NBC。三家消息来源都宣布同一位候选人获胜后，本市场即进行结算。如果这三个消息来源都没有在该州宣布同一位候选人获胜，本市场将根据官方认证结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。