- 共和党会赢得 MI-04 的众议院席位吗？50¢
- 民主党会赢得众议院中属于 MI-04 的席位吗？49¢
Recent polling showing the candidates essentially tied has kept trader odds narrow in Michigan’s 4th district race, with forecasters such as the Cook Political Report moving the contest to toss-up status. Democratic challenger Sean McCann’s record third-quarter fundraising of $1.8 million and heavy outside spending exceeding $13 million have narrowed the gap in an R+3 district that supported the Republican presidential nominee by roughly six points in the prior cycle. Incumbent Bill Huizenga faces elevated outside advertising and labor endorsements for his opponent, while both campaigns emphasize cost-of-living issues ahead of the November 3 general election. These dynamics sustain the competitive pricing until late-cycle shifts in turnout or additional polling emerge.
规则
本市场将根据在 2026 年中期选举中赢得美国众议院 MI-04 国会选区席位的候选人所属政党进行结算。中期选举将于 2026年11月3日 举行。 候选人的党派归属将根据其在选票上注明或可通过其他方式确认的党派身份确定，时间点为本市场的判定来源最终确认2026年所有众议院选举结果之时。如果候选人的选票上未注明其属于民主党或共和党，则将在本市场的判定来源最终确认所有众议院选举结果之时，根据候选人最近一次表示有意与之组成党团的政党，将其视为该两党之一的成员。 本市场将根据可信报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如存在歧义，本市场将仅依据美国政府公布的官方结果进行判定，具体以Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/)公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。