- Mary Peltola 会在1月31日前被起诉吗？11¢11%
Recent reporting from late October 2026 triggered escalated federal and state scrutiny of Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign over allegations that operatives recruited an independent candidate named Dan J. Sullivan to appear on the ballot alongside incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, potentially confusing voters in Alaska’s ranked-choice election. The Department of Justice confirmed an ongoing criminal probe that intensified after grand jury subpoenas and record-preservation demands, while Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy directed the Department of Public Safety to examine possible state-law violations. Peltola and her campaign have denied involvement or knowledge. As of early November 2026, no charges have been filed despite months of prior federal attention, and the timeline to January 31 leaves limited room for completing discovery, review, and charging decisions in a politically sensitive election-related matter. Trader consensus at 91.5% against charges by that date reflects these procedural realities and the absence of imminent indictments.
规则
如果美国任何联邦或州司法管辖区在市场创建至2027年1月31日、23:59 ET期间正式起诉 Mary Peltola，或以其他方式宣布对她提出刑事起诉，本市场将结算为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 就本市场而言，哥伦比亚特区以及任何州的任何县、市或其他下级行政区均纳入“州”的定义。 本市场的主要判定依据为美国政府来源的官方信息；不过，也会参考可信报道的广泛共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。