- Kim Jong Un 会在 2026年12月31日 前不再担任朝鲜最高领导人吗？3¢
North Korea’s tightly controlled political system and absence of any verified developments pointing to leadership change underpin trader consensus that Kim Jong Un will remain Supreme Leader through year-end. Recent party charter revisions have further formalized his authority over appointments and institutions, while state media shows him actively overseeing missile tests, naval drills, and diplomatic engagements into October 2026. Succession signals center on grooming his daughter rather than any transition or removal. With only weeks left before the December 31, 2026 resolution date, the short timeframe leaves little room for sudden shifts absent an unforeseen health crisis, elite purge, or major external shock.
规则
如果 Kim Jong Un 在市场创建至指定日期（ET）之间的任何一段时间内不再担任朝鲜最高领导人，该市场将判定为“是”。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在该市场结束日期前宣布 Kim Jong Un 辞职或被免职，该市场将立即判定为“是”，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效。 如果指定个人被拘留、实际上被免去指定职务，或在本市场的时间范围内以其他方式被永久阻止履行指定职务的职责，则符合结算为“是”的条件。 该市场的判定依据将是 Kim Jong Un 和朝鲜政府的官方信息；不过，也可以采用可信报道的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。