- 共和党会在2027年赢得肯塔基州州长选举吗？59¢59%
- 民主党会在2027年赢得肯塔基州州长选举吗？37¢37%
18%58.5%共和党成交量 $7359.4
16%36.5%民主党成交量 $9000.7
Republican traders hold a 62.5% implied probability in the 2027 Kentucky governor race, ahead of Democrats at 38.5%, reflecting an open-seat contest in a Republican-leaning state. Democratic incumbent Andy Beshear is term-limited after two consecutive terms and ineligible to run again, removing the advantage of incumbency. On the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman and former state House leader Rocky Adkins are the primary declared candidates, with early polling showing a competitive primary. Republicans expect U.S. Rep. James Comer to enter as the frontrunner, backed by unified party support and recent endorsements from figures like outgoing Secretary of State Michael Adams; lesser-known candidates such as Rick Hardin and Charles Martin have filed but trail in visibility. Kentucky’s recent federal voting patterns and legislative control favor the GOP, though the general election remains more than a year away with primaries set for May 2027.
规则
该市场将根据2027年肯塔基州州长选举的获胜者进行结算。 如果某候选人是相关政党提名的候选人，则视为其代表该政党。民主党或共和党提名人选以外的候选人（例如绿党、自由意志党或独立候选人）可能会在之后加入。 以独立候选人身份参选的候选人，无论其与该政党有任何关联，都不纳入“民主党”或“共和党”选项。 本市场的结算依据为美联社、Fox News和NBC。三家消息来源都宣布同一位候选人获胜后，本市场即进行结算。如果这三个消息来源都没有在该州宣布同一位候选人获胜，本市场将根据官方认证结果结算。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。