- Cheng Chao-fang会赢得下一届新竹县县长选举吗？70¢70%
- Hsu Hsin-ying会赢得下一届新竹县县长选举吗？30¢30%
- Lin Szu-ming会赢得下一届新竹县县长选举吗？<1¢<1%
- Chen Chien-hsien会赢得下一届新竹县县长选举吗？<1¢<1%
Cheng Chao-fang leads Polymarket trader consensus for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, reflecting his June DPP nomination as Zhubei mayor and recent internal polls showing him ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by 10–15 points. Cheng has drawn support from TPP voters and independents through emphasis on local governance, urban-rural balance, and cross-partisan appeals, aided by the collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination in Zhubei. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces challenges from lingering party divisions and uneven geographic strength outside urban centers. Mixed external surveys, including one showing Hsu ahead by 6 points, and low probabilities for independents like Chu Ting-yu underscore the two-candidate dynamic heading into the final weeks.
规则
台湾地方选举定于2026年11月28日举行。 该市场将根据在此次选举中当选新竹县下一任县长的候选人进行结算。 选举前任命的临时、过渡或代理县长将不予考虑。 如果截至 2027年6月30日 23:59 ET，此次选举结果仍未公布，或尚未选出任何候选人，本市场将以“其他”结算。 本市场将根据可信媒体报道所形成的共识所表明的选举结果进行结算。如有歧义，本市场将仅依据台湾政府公布的官方结果进行结算，具体以中央选举委员会（https://db.cec.gov.tw/）公布的结果为准。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。