- Howard Lutnick 会在 12月31日 前卸任商务部长吗？20¢20%
Howard Lutnick continues to serve as the active U.S. Secretary of Commerce with no public indications of resignation, removal, or transition as of mid-November 2026. He has led recent efforts to restart Canada-U.S. trade discussions focused on Section 232 tariffs for steel, aluminum, lumber, and autos, while advancing talks on an India bilateral agreement and semiconductor tariff frameworks. These developments align with his established role overseeing Commerce Department tariff and investment matters under the Trump administration. Absent any announced departures, Senate actions, or White House signals of change within the narrow window to year-end, trader consensus assigns a high implied probability that Lutnick will remain in the position through December 31.
规则
如果 Howard Lutnick 在市场创建至 2026年12月31日, 23:59 ET 期间的任何时候不再担任美国商务部长，该市场将以“是”结算。否则，此市场将判定为“否”。 如果在该市场结束日期之前宣布 Lutnick 辞职或被免职，无论宣布的辞职或免职何时生效，该市场都将立即结算为“是”。 本市场的结算来源将是特朗普政府的官方信息，但也可以采用可信报道形成的共识。
机器翻译。如有争议，以原文为准。