- Sagal Abdi-Wali会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？58¢
- 帕特·卡拉汉会赢得霍本和圣潘克拉斯的补选吗？5¢
- 亚当·哈里森会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？2¢
- 理查德·奥尔谢夫斯基会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？4¢
- 莎拉·海沃德会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？2¢
- 特里西亚·莱曼会在霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选中获胜吗？2¢
- 乔治娅·古尔德会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？<1¢
- 扎克·波兰斯基会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？28¢
- 洛娜·简·拉塞尔会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？1¢
- 大卫·斯坦塞尔会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯的补选吗？5¢
- 哈姆扎·乔杜里会赢得霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯补选吗？5¢
- 吉姆·莫纳汉会赢得霍尔本及圣潘克拉斯的补选吗？<1¢
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Labour’s candidate selection process, due to conclude on 9 September, centres on Sagal Abdi-Wali, the Camden council leader with deep local roots, while the Greens have accelerated their campaign after Zack Polanski confirmed his intention to stand on 3 September. The contest remains closely balanced because the seat’s left-leaning electorate has shown openness to Green advances in recent local results and national polling, yet Labour retains strong constituency organisation and an unbroken hold since 1983. Traders appear to price the outcome as a Labour-Green duel, with limited room for other candidates. A firm by-election date, formal candidate confirmations, or shifts in national party standings under Prime Minister Andy Burnham could widen or narrow the gap ahead of polling.