- 克莱尔·丹尼斯——《我心中的野兽》会在2026年艾美奖中获得限定剧或选集剧集/电视电影最佳女主角奖吗？7¢
- 萨莉·菲尔德——《异常聪明的生物》会在2026年艾美奖中获得限定剧或选集剧/电视电影最佳女主角奖吗？16¢
- 限定剧或选集剧集或电视电影最佳女主角？35¢
- 莎拉·皮金 –《爱情故事：小约翰·F·肯尼迪与卡罗琳·贝塞特》会在2026年艾美奖中获得限定剧或选集剧/电视电影最佳女主角吗？25¢
- Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” 会赢得2026年艾美奖：限定剧或选集/电视电影最佳女主角奖吗？14¢
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie". If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Beef Season 2’s robust 16 Emmy nominations, including strong limited series recognition, have positioned Carey Mulligan as the market leader at 35% implied probability by underscoring voter enthusiasm for her unhinged turn as Lindsay. Sarah Pidgeon trails at 25.3% after Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette earned only six nods despite early buzz and her breakout performance, a shortfall that highlights the impact of precursor momentum and total show support. Sally Field (15.8%) and Sarah Snook (14.5%) remain viable contenders through veteran appeal and Succession pedigree, respectively, while Claire Danes sits at 7.6%. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, traders are weighing Beef’s category dominance against the competitive field of five nominees in this tightly contested race.