- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的美国本土总票房会在9.5亿到9.6亿美元之间吗？100¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的国内总票房会在9.4亿到9.5亿美元之间吗？0¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》的国内总票房会低于9.4亿吗？0¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的北美总票房会在9.6亿到9.7亿美元之间吗？0¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》的国内总票房会至少达到9.7亿美元吗？0¢
Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record domestic run underpins the market's certainty that the Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel will finish between $950 million and $960 million by September 30. Its $360 million opening weekend shattered benchmarks, followed by strong multi-weekend holds that pushed it past Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time domestic crown in mid-September. Steady earnings through Labor Day and into late September—reaching roughly $951.8 million—locked in the outcome well before the cutoff. An upset would require either a dramatic late-September collapse or significant reporting revisions, both highly improbable given consistent daily tracking and the film's established trajectory.
规则
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.