- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》的国内总票房会低于9.4亿吗？11¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的国内总票房会在9.4亿到9.5亿美元之间吗？76¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的美国本土总票房会在9.5亿到9.6亿美元之间吗？16¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新纪元》的北美总票房会在9.6亿到9.7亿美元之间吗？<1¢
- 到9月30日，《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》的国内总票房会至少达到9.7亿美元吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Strong opening performance and sustained theatrical legs have positioned Spider-Man: Brand New Day near the 940–950 million domestic range by September 30. The film debuted to a record $360 million domestic weekend in late July and has maintained solid holds through its fifth weekend, reaching roughly $898 million as of early September with daily grosses in the low-to-mid single millions. This trajectory aligns with trader consensus, as the 75.5% implied probability on 940–950 million reflects ongoing audience demand for the Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle despite typical post-peak declines. Precursor tracking and box-office models project final totals in the low-to-mid 900 millions, with the September 30 cutoff capturing most remaining earnings before steeper drops set in. Key swing factors include Labor Day holdover performance and any late-summer competition that could accelerate or slow the current pace.