- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发140-164条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布165到189条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布190-214条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布240条以上推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布115-139条推文吗？1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布215-239条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布少于40条推文吗？18¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布40到64条推文吗？46¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布65到89条推文吗？28¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年9月3日至9月5日期间发布90-114条推文吗？9¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Recent three-day windows, including August 31–September 2, have resolved in the 40-64 range, establishing a baseline pace of roughly 13–21 posts per day that aligns with the market’s leading 45.5% implied probability for the September 3–5 period. Traders price in continued moderate volume absent major political or product announcements, consistent with Elon Musk’s August monthly total of 880–919 posts and the absence of weekend catalysts that historically drive spikes. The 65–89 bracket at 27.5% captures the potential for modest upticks from routine engagement on X platform updates or Tesla commentary, while sub-40 and 90-plus outcomes remain discounted given the recent pattern of steady but contained activity.