- 伊隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布40-64条推文吗？68¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发190到214条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布240条以上的推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间会发布65到89条推文吗？33¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布90-114条推文吗？2¢
- 埃隆·马斯克将在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布115-139条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布140至164条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布165-189条推文吗？<1¢
- 埃隆·马斯克会在2026年8月31日至9月2日期间发布215-239条推文吗？<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the Labor Day-adjacent window, anchoring trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet bucket at roughly 67% implied probability. Recent three-day stretches, including the prior August 29-31 period, resolved in the same band, reflecting a baseline of 10–20 daily posts absent major product launches, political flashpoints, or viral threads that typically inflate volume. Historical patterns show holiday weekends compress activity below peak levels, while August’s overall high count (settling in the 880-919 monthly bin) did not carry over into sustained daily spikes. With resolution imminent on September 2 and no confirmed catalysts on the horizon, the 65-89 range trails at 32.5% as the only plausible alternative if engagement ticks higher.