- Samuel Alito 會在2026年12月31日之前宣布退休嗎？3¢3%
- Samuel Alito 會在2027年6月30日之前宣布退休嗎？19¢19%
- 1%3.3%12月31日成交量 $162.1萬
- 1%19%2027年6月30日成交量 $23.9萬
Justice Samuel Alito has publicly confirmed he intends to serve through the current Supreme Court term ending in late June 2027, a decision he reached months earlier and reiterated after Democrats secured Senate control in the November 2026 midterms. At 76, Alito has described retirement as an annual consideration tied to his ability to contribute, noting he weighed stepping down previously but chose to remain. The shift to Democratic Senate majority beginning in January 2027 reduces prospects for swift confirmation of a successor under President Trump, prompting conservative calls for action during the lame-duck period that Alito has resisted. Traders monitoring this market focus on his consistent statements, potential health or personal developments, and the timeline for any future reconsideration ahead of the next term.
規則
如果 Samuel Alito 在指定日期 下午11:59 ET 前宣布將卸任美國最高法院副大法官一職，則此市場將以「是」結算。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 其宣布的退休時間可以是立即生效、在本屆最高法院任期結束時，或未來任何時間。 Alito 的任何符合條件的公告都將計入以「是」結算，不論公告中的退休是否實際生效。 此市場的結算依據為 Alito 或其官方代表之一發布的正式公告。
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