- 到9月30日，是否會有任何飛機在基輔鮑里斯波爾機場起降？17¢
- 截至10月31日，是否有任何飛機在基輔鮑里斯波爾機場起降？35¢
- 到12月31日，是否會有任何飛機在基輔鮑里斯波爾機場起降？38¢
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ukrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial flights since February 2022, with Kyiv Boryspil Airport operating only in a suspended, maintenance mode amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Recent Russian missile strikes on Kyiv Oblast, including areas near Boryspil on September 1, 2026, underscore persistent security risks that prevent any resumption of landings or takeoffs. Although the airport maintains infrastructure, staff training, and technical readiness, reopening hinges on verifiable improvements in airspace safety and insurance conditions rather than fixed timelines. Ukrainian officials have formed working groups for phased resumption, and statements in July 2026 indicated potential operations within weeks of resolved security concerns, yet no such developments have materialized in the past month. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with any near-term activity dependent on major de-escalation or diplomatic shifts in the conflict.