- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?100¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?0¢
The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
規則
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.