- 德克薩斯州2026年參議院選舉的結果會在5%以內嗎？71¢
- 緬因州2026年參議員選舉結果會在5%以內嗎？57¢
- 密歇根州2026年參議院選舉的結果會在5%以內嗎？55¢
- 愛荷華州2026年參議院選舉的差距會在5%以內嗎？63¢
- 阿拉斯加2026年參議院選舉的結果會在5%以內嗎？68¢
- 俄亥俄州2026年特別參議員選舉的差距會在5%以內嗎？70¢
- 新罕布夏州2026年參議院選舉結果會在5%以內嗎？31¢
- 內布拉斯加州2026年參議院選舉的結果會在5%以內嗎？58¢
- 維吉尼亞州2026年參議院選舉的結果會在5%以內嗎？7¢
- 新墨西哥州2026年參議員選舉的差距會在5%以內嗎？13¢
- 科羅拉多州2026年參議院選舉的差距會在5%以內嗎？4¢
- 2026年佛羅里達特別參議院選舉的差距會在5%以內嗎？33¢
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.