- 特朗普會在2027年12月31日前與金正恩會面嗎？57¢57%
- 特朗普會在2027年6月30日前與金正恩會面嗎？30¢30%
- 特朗普會在2026年12月31日前與金正恩會面嗎？7¢7%
- 57.5%2027年12月31日成交量 $92.3
- 1%29.5%2027年6月30日成交量 $90.7
- 1%7%2026年12月31日成交量 $2349
President Donald Trump has repeatedly signaled openness to renewed personal diplomacy with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, citing their prior three meetings and describing the relationship positively while scaling back some joint U.S.-South Korea military exercises. However, Pyongyang has provided no response to U.S. outreach, with Kim Yo-jong explicitly rejecting further talks amid fresh U.S. sanctions and FBI accusations of cryptocurrency theft exceeding $6 billion. North Korea appears to prioritize ties with Russia and China, seeking major concessions including sanctions relief and acceptance of its nuclear status before any engagement, rendering a 2026 summit on the sidelines of the APEC gathering in Shenzhen or similar venues highly unlikely according to U.S. and South Korean officials. Trader consensus reflects these barriers, with resolution hinging on verifiable bilateral contact within the market's timeframe.
規則
如果唐納德·特朗普在市場建立時間與所列日期 下午11:59 ET 之間會見金正恩，本市場將結算為「是」。否則，此市場將以「否」結算。 會面定義為特朗普和金正恩均在場，並親自彼此互動的任何接觸。 提到的兩人之間有言語交流、握手、直接交談或其他明確的親自互動，均符合會面的定義。僅僅站得很近、眼神接觸，或在沒有直接互動的情況下出現在同一個房間或活動中，均不符合會面的定義。 判定依據將是可信報導所形成的共識。
機器翻譯。如有爭議，以原文為準。