Recent MrBeast videos have shown first-week view totals clustering between roughly 100M and 200M, with standout releases like the October 2026 grocery store challenge hitting record day-one numbers near 68M before settling well above 150M overall. The market's 89% implied probability on the sub-150M bracket reflects trader assessment that the next upload will align more closely with standard rather than outlier performance, factoring in recent algorithm adjustments to view counting and variable production scale. Momentum from high-engagement titles has lifted some brackets modestly, yet consistent historical patterns and the absence of confirmed mega-challenge hype for the immediate follow-up keep higher thresholds at minimal odds. The next Saturday upload and early streaming data will serve as the primary near-term catalyst for any shifts in these aggregates.
此市場將根據 MrBeast 的 YouTube 影片「Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000」發布後前 7 天的觀看次數結算。 若公布值恰好落在兩個區間之間,本市場將以較高的區間結算。 如果在指定期間結束時無法取得結算來源,此市場將根據指定期間結束前可取得的最新觀看次數來結算。 此市場的結算來源為 MrBeast 的 YouTube 頻道(https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast),具體而言是所述影片的「觀看次數」計數器。 注意:此市場僅涉及 MrBeast 的影片「Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000」(參見:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw)。
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