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This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 release has driven overwhelming trader consensus, with the film already surpassing $2 billion worldwide by mid-August and tracking toward a $2.1–2.5 billion finish. Its record domestic opening of $360 million, rapid billion-dollar milestone, and strong word-of-mouth position it far ahead of late-year competitors. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 date leaves minimal runway for comparable accumulation even with a strong holiday launch. An upset would require Doomsday to post historic legs or Spider-Man to suffer an unusually steep post-summer drop, outcomes that current box-office trajectories make improbable.