- 《俠盜獵車手VI》發佈預告片在第一週會少於4000萬觀看次數嗎？12¢
- 《俠盜獵車手VI發佈預告片》在第一週會獲得四千萬到六千萬次觀看嗎？34¢
- 《俠盜獵車手VI》發布預告片在第一週會獲得 6,000 萬到 8,000 萬次觀看嗎？34¢
- 「俠盜獵車手VI」發佈預告片在首週會獲得8,000萬到1億觀看次數嗎？20¢
- 《俠盜獵車手 VI 發布預告片》在第一週內會獲得 1 億到 1.2 億次觀看嗎？5¢
- 「俠盜獵車手VI」發佈預告片在第一週內會獲得1億2千萬到1億4千萬的觀看次數嗎？1¢
- 「俠盜獵車手VI推出預告片」在第一週會達到至少1.4億觀看次數嗎？5¢
The closely matched market-implied odds between the 40-60M (34.5%) and 60-80M (34.6%) view brackets for the Grand Theft Auto VI launch trailer reflect intense trader debate over first-week performance on YouTube and across platforms. Rockstar's October 15 release of the 90-second in-game footage, timed 35 days before the November 19 launch, taps into unmatched franchise hype and prior trailer records, yet its shorter format and position after the extended look create uncertainty around sustained momentum versus initial viral spikes. Key differentiators include algorithmic promotion, the Justice soundtrack tie-in, and competition from social media clips, with historical data from Trailer 2's massive cross-platform results informing the balanced sentiment. View counts will likely clarify quickly as daily metrics emerge.
規則
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).