Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have clustered between 200 and 360 posts, with the Oct 9–16 period resolving at 346 and earlier 2026 weeks averaging near 285. Trader pricing centers on the 200–279 range because that band aligns with this baseline, while higher brackets reflect occasional spikes tied to major product reveals or earnings reactions. The Oct 21 Tesla third-quarter earnings call stands out as the clearest near-term catalyst that could lift volume through commentary and market reaction, though no overlapping political or launch events appear imminent to drive sustained surges beyond recent norms.
此市場將根據 Elon Musk(@elonmusk)在 10月20日 下午12:00 ET 至 2026年10月27日 下午12:00 ET 期間於 X 發文的次數結算。 就本市場而言,僅計算主要動態中的貼文、引用貼文及轉發貼文。 回覆不計入總數,但主要動態中的回覆(例如https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576)會被追蹤器計入。 已刪除的貼文只要保留時間足以被追蹤器擷取(約5分鐘),即會計入。 未被追蹤器計入的社群轉發貼文不計入總數。 本市場的結算來源為https://xtracker.polymarket.com上貼文的「Post Counter」數值。點擊「Export Data」即可查看個別貼文。若追蹤器未依規則正確更新,可使用 X 本身作為次要結算來源。
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