- Sagal Abdi-Wali會贏得Holborn及St Pancras補選嗎？58¢
- Pat Callaghan 是否會贏得霍本和聖潘克拉斯的補選？5¢
- 亞當·哈里森會贏得霍爾本及聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？2¢
- 理查德·奧爾謝夫斯基會贏得霍爾本及聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？4¢
- Sarah Hayward 會贏得 Holborn 和 St Pancras 的補選嗎？2¢
- 崔西亞·萊曼會贏得霍爾本和聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？2¢
- 佐治亞·古爾德會贏得霍爾本及聖潘克拉斯的補選嗎？<1¢
- 扎克·波蘭斯基會贏得霍爾本及聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？28¢
- Lorna Jane Russell 會贏得霍本及聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？1¢
- 大衛·斯坦塞爾會贏得霍本及聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？5¢
- 哈姆扎·喬杜里會贏得霍本與聖潘克拉斯補選嗎？5¢
- Jim Monahan會贏得霍爾本及聖潘克拉斯的補選嗎？<1¢
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Labour’s candidate selection process, due to conclude on 9 September, centres on Sagal Abdi-Wali, the Camden council leader with deep local roots, while the Greens have accelerated their campaign after Zack Polanski confirmed his intention to stand on 3 September. The contest remains closely balanced because the seat’s left-leaning electorate has shown openness to Green advances in recent local results and national polling, yet Labour retains strong constituency organisation and an unbroken hold since 1983. Traders appear to price the outcome as a Labour-Green duel, with limited room for other candidates. A firm by-election date, formal candidate confirmations, or shifts in national party standings under Prime Minister Andy Burnham could widen or narrow the gap ahead of polling.