保加利亞總統選舉第一輪:勝利邊際
政治選舉全球選舉勝利邊際世界選舉世界保加利亞
開始時間
2026-09-23
結束時間
2026-10-25
24小時成交量
$5K
總成交量
$7K
  • 伊利亞娜·約托娃是否會在2026年保加利亞總統第一輪選舉中獲得至少40%的選票?3¢
  • 伊利亞娜·約托娃會以30%至40%的得票率贏得2026年保加利亞總統大選第一輪嗎?8¢
  • 伊莉亞娜·約托娃會以20%-30%的優勢贏得2026年保加利亞總統大選首輪投票嗎?49¢
  • 伊利亞娜·約托娃會以10%-20%的優勢贏得2026年保加利亞總統第一輪選舉嗎?23¢
  • 伊利亞娜·約托娃在2026年保加利亞總統選舉第一輪的勝出幅度會少於10%嗎?13¢
  • 安德烈·久羅夫會以不到10%的優勢贏得2026年保加利亞總統第一輪選舉嗎?5¢
  • Andrey Gyurov會以10%-20%的優勢贏得2026年保加利亞總統選舉首輪投票嗎?6¢
  • 安德烈·久羅夫會以20%-30%的得票率贏得2026年保加利亞總統大選第一輪嗎?2¢
  • 安德烈·久羅夫在2026年保加利亞總統大選首輪中能否以至少30%的得票率獲勝?<1¢

The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

保加利亞總統選舉第一輪:勝利邊際

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