- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?70¢70 %
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?31¢31 %
- Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
2 %69,5 %Chiang Wan-anVol. 1,9 mil. $
1 %30,8 %Puma ShenVol. 1,9 mil. $
Incumbent Chiang Wan-an of the Kuomintang maintains a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 28 Taipei mayoral election, supported by his incumbency record on infrastructure projects, urban renewal, and MRT expansions. DPP challenger Puma Shen has narrowed the gap in recent polls through emphasis on housing, greenery, and defense-related policies, yet faces structural barriers including the KMT’s historical strength in the capital and limited prior DPP success there. Minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi register negligible support. Debates on local development and cross-strait dynamics have heightened visibility without materially altering the market’s assessment of the frontrunner.
Reguli
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).