- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?94¢94 %
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?5¢5 %
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 57 %93,5 %300-319Vol. 197,3 K $
- 6 %4,7 %320-339Vol. 208,1 K $
- 3 %0,3 %340-359Vol. 191,2 K $
Trader consensus places overwhelming probability on Elon Musk posting 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume daily output averaging roughly 43-45 posts. This pace stems from consistent engagement across company announcements, policy commentary, and real-time reactions that keep his account central to public discourse. Recent weeks show no major deviations from this baseline, with steady promotional and conversational activity sustaining the range. An upset into higher brackets would need an abrupt surge from breaking news or platform events, while a drop below 300 might occur only if external commitments sharply limit his posting window in the final days.
Reguli
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.