- Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?41¢41 %
- Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?52¢52 %
- Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?60¢60 %
- 18 %40,8 %December 31, 2026Vol. 100 K $
- 6 %52 %March 31, 2027Vol. 25,2 K $
- 9 %59,5 %June 30, 2027Vol. 11,4 K $
Recent Republican midterm losses, widely attributed to backlash against the Iran war, have intensified bipartisan pressure on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, with Republican Representative Thomas Massie vowing to force a House impeachment vote next week via privileged resolution. Articles cite alleged violations of the War Powers Resolution through unauthorized military actions. Hegseth responded with a public video rejecting the effort as political theater and defending the campaign, while President Trump has voiced continued support. A lame-duck GOP House could act quickly, but passage requires cross-party votes; Democratic control beginning in January raises longer-term prospects. Trader pricing reflects these timelines and the simple-majority threshold for House articles, alongside uncertainty over Senate outcomes or resignation.
Reguli
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.