- Mary Peltolaは1月31日までに起訴されますか？11¢11%
Recent reporting from late October 2026 triggered escalated federal and state scrutiny of Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign over allegations that operatives recruited an independent candidate named Dan J. Sullivan to appear on the ballot alongside incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan, potentially confusing voters in Alaska’s ranked-choice election. The Department of Justice confirmed an ongoing criminal probe that intensified after grand jury subpoenas and record-preservation demands, while Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy directed the Department of Public Safety to examine possible state-law violations. Peltola and her campaign have denied involvement or knowledge. As of early November 2026, no charges have been filed despite months of prior federal attention, and the timeline to January 31 leaves limited room for completing discovery, review, and charging decisions in a politically sensitive election-related matter. Trader consensus at 91.5% against charges by that date reflects these procedural realities and the absence of imminent indictments.
ルール
米国の連邦または州の管轄区域が、市場作成後から2027年1月31日、23:59 ETまでの間にMary Peltolaを正式に起訴するか、その他の方法で刑事起訴を発表した場合、この市場は「はい」として決済されます。それ以外の場合、この市場は「いいえ」で決着します。 本市場においては、コロンビア特別区、および州の郡、市町村その他の下位行政区分を、州の定義に含めるものとします。 本市場の主な決着情報源は米国政府機関の公式情報としますが、信頼できる報道における幅広い合意も使用します。
機械翻訳です。解釈に相違がある場合は原文が優先されます。