- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by September 30?6¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?13¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by September 30?33¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $43B by September 30?28¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by September 30?41¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $41.5B by September 30?68¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by September 30?46¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by September 30?43¢
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $38B by September 30?13¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canva's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using official regular-hours trading prices published for the company’s listed equities on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be the relevant Market Cap figure displayed on https://www.nasdaq.com/ as well as official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Canva’s most recent priced valuation stems from its August 2025 employee share sale at roughly $42 billion, with secondary trading and institutional marks since then clustering between $32 billion and $35 billion. In August 2026, backers Blackbird and Airtree marked the company down 17 percent to $34.9 billion while the internal 409A valuation fell further to around $31–$44 billion, citing higher AI infrastructure costs, moderating revenue growth to the low-30s percent range, and softer user metrics. With annualized revenue near $4 billion and an IPO still viewed as a 2026 possibility rather than an imminent catalyst, traders see limited scope for a material upward re-rating before the September 30 resolution date absent a new funding round or major acquisition.