- Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?43¢43%
Recent insider reports of Avengers: Secret Wars principal photography shifting to January 2027—following Doomsday’s wrap—have fueled delay speculation due to the compressed post-production window for a VFX-intensive sequel aiming for December 17, 2027. However, counter-reports indicate substantial footage was already captured concurrently with Doomsday, easing timeline pressure, while Marvel has historically delivered back-to-back Avengers entries a year apart. Anthony Mackie’s summer 2027 filming comments add uncertainty, yet the absence of official confirmation and the market’s 57.5% implied probability for no delay reflect trader confidence in Disney’s ability to maintain the slot ahead of Doomsday’s December 2026 release.
Rules
Avengers: Secret Wars is expected to be released on December 17, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.