- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?3¢3%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?34¢34%
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?40¢40%
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?18¢18%
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?6¢6%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?<1¢<1%
Trader sentiment reflects Elon Musk’s historically variable posting patterns on X, where daily volumes often fluctuate between 15 and 30 tweets depending on Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory updates, and real-time cultural commentary. The near-even split between the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges captures this inconsistency, with traders weighing steady baseline activity against potential spikes from company milestones or news cycles. Differentiating factors include the timing of any late-October announcements or public appearances, which historically elevate output, versus quieter stretches aligned with routine operations. The tight contest highlights how skin-in-the-game consensus accounts for both established rhythms and the inherent unpredictability of high-profile digital engagement.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 24 12:00 PM ET to October 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.