- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?94¢94%
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?84¢84%
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?83¢83%
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30?71¢71%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?68¢68%
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?61¢61%
- Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?53¢53%
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by November 30?51¢51%
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?50¢50%
- Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?50¢50%
- Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30?50¢50%
- Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?50¢50%
President Donald Trump’s recent diplomatic outreach, including successive phone calls with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on bilateral ties, Ukraine diplomacy, and the Organization of Turkic States summit, has shaped trader focus on likely conversation partners through late November. Ongoing campaign tele-rallies ahead of the November 3 midterms and public references to potential meetings with leaders such as Xi Jinping at the APEC forum and discussions involving Vladimir Putin underscore active foreign-policy engagement. Scheduled international travel and multilateral forums in the resolution window provide structured opportunities for additional calls or video interactions. Traders weigh these confirmed contacts and upcoming dates against historical patterns of presidential outreach when assessing probabilities for specific individuals.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.