- Will no Speaker of the Knesset be elected by February 28?20¢20%
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?16¢16%
- Will Ofir Katz be the next Speaker of the Knesset?6¢6%
- Will Eli Cohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?20¢20%
- Will Oded Forer be the next Speaker of the Knesset?20¢20%
- Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?21¢21%
- Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?33¢33%
- Will Elazar Stern be the next Speaker of the Knesset?20¢20%
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?49¢49%
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Speaker of the Knesset?20¢20%
- Will Eitan Ginzburg be the next Speaker of the Knesset?8¢8%
- Will Merav Ben Ari be the next Speaker of the Knesset?9¢9%
The closely matched odds for multiple candidates to become the next Knesset Speaker reflect the fragmented post-election landscape after Israel's October 2026 vote, which left Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats and the opposition change bloc with 48, short of a majority in the 120-seat chamber. Opposition leaders including Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Avigdor Liberman are coordinating to replace incumbent Amir Ohana at the November 10 swearing-in, a move that would require Arab party backing to reach the needed votes and grant control over the agenda and committees even before a government forms. Yair Lapid has emerged as one floated name alongside Oded Forer and Elazar Stern, but internal bloc divisions, sensitivities around Arab cooperation, and potential abstentions keep consensus elusive. Upcoming presidential consultations and any early Knesset vote will test whether a unified choice materializes or the position remains open.
Rules
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.