- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?14¢14%
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?14¢14%
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?18¢18%
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?19¢19%
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?13¢13%
- Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?31¢31%
Early tracking estimates position The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping for a domestic opening weekend in the mid-$50 million to low-$70 million range, aligning with the market's tightest clustering around 65m-75m. The November 20 release benefits from a solo wide weekend with no major competition, a returning director in Francis Lawrence, and stronger source material momentum than its 2023 predecessor, including 1.5 million first-week book sales. A higher $170–200 million budget and ensemble cast featuring Joseph Zada as young Haymitch, plus supporting stars like Glenn Close and Ralph Fiennes, support franchise continuity, while potential cameos from Jennifer Lawrence and Josh Hutcherson add nostalgia appeal. Tickets going on sale October 28 will provide the next key read on presale strength ahead of reviews and IMAX availability.
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.