- Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?34¢
Recent reports detail tensions between President Trump and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, including Trump bypassing her preferred candidate for press secretary and other perceived slights amid midterm preparations and ally controversies. These frictions have prompted speculation about her influence. However, Wiles has maintained the role since January 2025, outlasting first-term predecessors, recovered from a March 2026 breast cancer diagnosis to resume full duties by September, and publicly rejected earlier exit rumors as fiction. With continuity valued ahead of the 2026 midterms and no formal announcements of departure, traders assign a 75% probability she remains through December 31.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Susie Wiles ceases to be the White House Chief of Staff for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Wiles' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.