South Carolina Senate Election Winner
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?11¢
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?89¢
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate and consistent Senate voting patterns position the GOP nominee as the strong favorite in the November 2026 general election. The sudden death of incumbent Lindsey Graham in July prompted a special primary on August 11, where Darline Graham—his sister, appointed by Governor Henry McMaster and endorsed by President Trump—advanced alongside Ralph Norman to an August 25 runoff. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination. These primary outcomes and the state's structural partisan advantages shape trader assessments of the general election contest, with limited Democratic path to victory in a state where Republicans have long held the seat.