- Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?62¢62%
- Will "NAZA" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?23¢23%
- Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?4¢4%
- Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2%
- Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2%
- Will Tutu win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1%
- Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1%
You Can See Everything leads the Oscars 2027 Best Documentary Feature market at 66.5% implied probability due to its record-breaking $15 million opening weekend, near-universal critical acclaim with 98% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 99 Metacritic score, and broad industry excitement following its Telluride and New York Film Festival premieres. The A24 meta-documentary from Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, tracking Elizabeth Holmes before and after prison, has sparked historic Best Picture buzz while still facing the documentary branch’s first-round vote, where unconventional approaches have drawn snubs in prior cycles. NAZA sits at 11% on the strength of its Venice reception and timely political themes, with lower-odds contenders like Nuisance Bear benefiting from its Sundance Grand Jury Prize. Key upcoming catalysts include Critics Choice Documentary Awards on November 8 and guild voting patterns that often signal final frontrunner momentum.
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.