- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
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- Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?<1¢
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?94¢
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?6¢
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 2026 opening—$360 million domestically and nearly $930 million worldwide—has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 93.5% implied probability for the year’s top earner. The Tom Holland-led Sony release crossed $2 billion globally in record time on the strength of strong reviews, audience scores above 98%, and minimal summer competition, already securing the 2026 crown with more than $2.34 billion tallied by early September. Avengers: Doomsday, slated for mid-December, faces a steep climb despite solid presales, as its holiday window leaves limited runway to overtake the frontrunner. An upset would require the MCU crossover to post unprecedented late-year legs or a domestic debut rivaling Endgame while Spider-Man’s run slows dramatically.