Highest grossing movie in 2026?
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- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?93¢
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?7¢
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day commands a 92.5% implied probability as the 2026 box-office leader because the MCU Spider-Man franchise has repeatedly demonstrated unmatched opening weekends and global appeal, with this installment positioned for a prime summer slot that maximizes theatrical earnings. Traders weigh its proven IP strength, Tom Holland's star power, and historical precedents like No Way Home's record performance against a crowded field where Avengers: Doomsday sits at just 6.5%. An upset would require significant shifts such as Doomsday securing an earlier release with stronger marketing momentum, major production delays for Brand New Day, or unexpected competition from another title exceeding expectations in presales and reviews.