- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?18¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?39¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?8¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?21¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?7¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?24¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?3¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?<1¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?<1¢
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The closely contested Ohio Senate special election between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown, rated a toss-up by most forecasters with recent polls showing margins within the margin of error, stands as the primary driver of trader expectations for turnout on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, primary data indicated solid base mobilization on both sides alongside stronger unaffiliated participation, while economic concerns such as inflation and affordability continue to boost engagement. Generational divides, independent crossover potential, and aggressive likely-voter outreach by campaigns further support clustering around mid-range totals rather than extremes. Historical midterm patterns in Ohio and ongoing voter roll maintenance reinforce this positioning, as the race's competitiveness elevates overall participation without pushing toward record highs.