- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?1¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?1¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?8¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?62¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?25¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?3¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?2¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
The Rockstar Games YouTube upload of the 26-minute Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look, which followed a six-hour Netflix exclusivity window on August 27, has driven trader consensus toward the 10-15 million day-one view range at 58.5% implied probability. Its extended runtime and focus on atmospheric world-building, character moments between protagonists Lucia and Jason, and Leonida environments—rather than rapid-fire highlights—contrast sharply with the shorter prior trailers that shattered records. Pre-release leaks further tempered novelty, while the staggered rollout fragmented immediate reach and slowed initial virality. Strong ongoing anticipation for the November 19 release supports a solid baseline, yet market positioning reflects how these structural factors cap first-day performance relative to historical benchmarks.