- Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?69¢
- Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?63¢
- Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?91¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Terra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
OpenAI introduced its tiered GPT-5.6 family (Sol flagship, Terra balanced, and Luna cost-efficient) in late June 2026, with Luna positioned as the fastest, lowest-priced option for high-volume tasks at $1/$6 per million tokens. Public rollout followed on July 9 after U.S. government review of cybersecurity risks under the Trump administration’s AI executive order, limiting initial access to vetted partners. This established a durable naming system where the number denotes generation and Sol/Terra/Luna denote capability tiers that can advance independently. The subsequent September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra, focused on agentic computer use and benchmarks like ARC-AGI-3 and ExploitBench, has shifted attention to whether OpenAI will extend the Luna tier into a 5.7+ model amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny, competitive pressure from Anthropic, and emphasis on safety hardening. Traders are monitoring upcoming developer updates or earnings commentary for signals on the next Luna cadence.