- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 13, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 14, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 16, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 17, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 18, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 19, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 20, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 21, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 22, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 23, 2026?0¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 24, 2026?0¢
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, also called Astra, began its official rollout on September 4 following a limited preview the prior day for select enterprise and Daybreak cybersecurity partners. The company confirmed the model's availability to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers, plus the API and AWS, citing its advances in computer use, agentic workflows, coding benchmarks, and aligned capabilities after a deliberate delay to strengthen safeguards. This verified launch timing underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around the September 4 outcome. A realistic challenge could arise only if resolution criteria strictly require immediate full general availability across all tiers rather than the phased rollout now underway.