- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 13, 2026?5¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 14, 2026?2¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 15, 2026?4¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 16, 2026?4¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 17, 2026?3¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 18, 2026?2¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 19, 2026?2¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 20, 2026?3¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 21, 2026?3¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 22, 2026?3¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 23, 2026?3¢
- Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 24, 2026?2¢
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
OpenAI’s Astra, a frontier large language model family with multi-agent architecture for complex, long-horizon tasks, faces release uncertainty driven by its confirmed “Critical” cybersecurity capabilities under the company’s Preparedness Framework. On September 1, OpenAI stated the model can autonomously identify and exploit zero-days across hardened systems—the first to hit this threshold—prompting strengthened safeguards, paused workloads, and limited initial access via the Daybreak Blue partner program rather than broad availability. This builds on August pauses after internal evaluations, with no firm public launch date announced despite “soon” language. Trader consensus favoring no release by September 30 reflects these extended safety reviews, historical timeline slips on frontier models, and the distinction between internal testing, early partner access, and general availability amid regulatory scrutiny.